Mathematician/epidemiologist at @LSHTM. @WellcomeTrust fellow and @TEDFellow. Author of The Rules of Contagion. Views own.

Joined January 2012
Got a new fridge. It's amazing what AI can do these days.
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Adam Kucharski retweeted
Particularly relevant if the next pandemic happens to involve antimicrobial-resistant bacteria, would really be a completely different challenge...
When discussing future pandemics, we need to be careful not to simply focus on what countries should have done against COVID in 2020. Because next pandemic may well be very different… 1/
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Adam Kucharski retweeted
NEW: lots of news recently on waning immunity against infection, but a study has now landed from Public Health England on how vaccines are faring against *severe disease & death* This chart summarises key findings, but the paper is a real goldmine, so let’s dig into more detail:
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When discussing future pandemics, we need to be careful not to simply focus on what countries should have done against COVID in 2020. Because next pandemic may well be very different… 1/
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Even relatively small differences could have changed COVID path. What if Delta had been the initial virus? Or vaccine development slower and less effective? There'll be temptation to fall into trap of ‘generals always fight the last war’, but this will hinder future planning. 2/2
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Adam Kucharski retweeted
We're not currently on track for 7k admissions a day in England. It's a "what if" analysis that looks at what would happen if R hit 1.5 (last week) and stays there and we change nothing.
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Adam Kucharski retweeted
In which I wonder why we aren’t more worried about hospitalisations and deaths creeping up again unherd.com/2021/09/are-we-he…
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Adam Kucharski retweeted
We've added charts on country-by-country donations to COVAX: ourworldindata.org/covid-vac… Donations are broken down by whether they have been only announced, actually donated, or delivered to the recipient countries. Chart 1 shows absolute numbers; chart 2 shows donations by GDP.
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Adam Kucharski retweeted
Just look at the effect of deprivation on vaccine takeup. Most deprived adults: fewer than 70% fully vaccinated Least deprived adults: more than 90% fully vaccinated england.nhs.uk/statistics/wp… (Data: NHS, 9 September)
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Adam Kucharski retweeted
Looking forward to talking with @BillHanage at @HarvardBooks on Monday (12pm ET/5pm UK time) to mark the new US edition of my book, which now comes with more words and less weight: harvard.com/event/virtual_ev…
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Adam Kucharski retweeted
The @ONS has worked out age-adjusted #COVID19 deaths by vaccination status. There’s a pretty clear trend. Full report and data here: ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationa…
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Adam Kucharski retweeted
Pondering how on earth we have reached the point in the pandemic where I am caring for previously fit & well people younger than me in ICU due to widespread misinformation about vaccines/COVID. The misinformation is not benign, it’s harming people & needs to stop NOW! 1/3
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Adam Kucharski retweeted
The problem: "I think that politicians across the world are sort of pretending you can have your cake and eat it: You can have zero deaths, no control measures, vaccinate if you want to or not vaccinate - and it will all end. I just don't think that's realistic.”
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Adam Kucharski retweeted
Want to improve your academic writing? Here are 5 tweets full of excellent writing tips. Because it’s about time I start sharing all the great tweets I bookmark. @AcademicChatter #AcademicTwitter
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Adam Kucharski retweeted
CoMix had been pretty good at tracking the R number so far - a mass return to work could increase it, and WFH, rapid tests, physical interventions like ventilation or moving outside could be sustainable and low cost in a way other things being discussed may not be.
It's easy to forget just how many social contacts adults had at work pre-pandemic (below left from: medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/…) – and how far current UK social interactions are from this pre-pandemic baseline (below right from: cmmid.github.io/topics/covid…)
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It's easy to forget just how many social contacts adults had at work pre-pandemic (below left from: medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/…) – and how far current UK social interactions are from this pre-pandemic baseline (below right from: cmmid.github.io/topics/covid…)
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Adam Kucharski retweeted
Thread about COVID deaths, waning and boosters. It's nearly a year since That Press Conference, where Whitty and Vallance warned that, without action, we could be looking at 200 COVID deaths/day by November.
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