Hurricane Expert at The Weather Channel

Atlanta, GA
Joined February 2009
OK, ladies whose name starts with Q, let’s hear what Tropical Depression #Seventeen could have been named once it strengthens as forecast into Rose. And Sam might form right behind it later this week. Tropical wave train like a pitching machine…
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There’s never been an Atlantic hurricane named #Peter. Just a tropical storm over the eastern Atlantic in December 2003. Even if #95L gets that name tonight, it’ll struggle to become a hurricane in next several days due to increasing shear north of the Caribbean.
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Wife: Will it rain tonight? Me: 50% chance. Wife: Why do I need you if I can just flip a coin? Me: Good luck with that, our country has a coin shortage. Plus I know which days a coin flip won’t help. What’s that worth to you? Wife: I’d pay a quarter for that. But, coin shortage…
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More than half of 15 Atlantic storms so far have struck CONUS. Isn't #Odette a nice change of pace? It's only the second storm to form near CONUS and, like Bill in June, NOT make CONUS landfall. But Newfoundland might not be so fortunate, and after having just dealt with Larry.
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Many ways #95L could end up insignificant for CONUS. One is latest Euro: north turn behind stalling #Odette, but maybe bad for Bermuda. Another is weakening from shear as in this GFS run. But then it’s farther west, hope it doesn’t strengthen near Bahamas, and next front gets it.
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I can say with 100% confidence that we will NOT use the Greek alphabet again this year! Now, we probably will make it past Wanda, but if so, this time there will be a different supplemental list used, starting with Adria, then Braylen, etc. See public.wmo.int/en/media/news…
We still have like 6 weeks left of Hurricane season. I wonder if we’ll end up using the Greek alphabet again this year?
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NHC will initiate advisories on Tropical Storm Odette, located off the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast, at 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC).
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Looking more and more like #96L off mid-Atlantic coast is going to win the race to become Odette tonight or Saturday, but might be strongest as a post-tropical cyclone near Newfoundland. So we will probably see Peter form from #95L that will be near Leeward Islands Mon-Tue.
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GIF
Here's another reason to institute "major hurricane watch" & "major hurricane warning". Cat 3+ hurricanes cause more extensive, long-lasting power outages. Need to evacuate many elderly ahead of time to avoid fatalities like those caused indirectly by #Ida from power outages.
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Insurance coverage limitations are sometimes another impediment to hurricane evacuation, if evac instructions not all mandatory, as in #Ida. As partial solution, would insurance companies support covering evac & loss of use expenses for those under a storm surge watch or warning?
Commissioner Donelon requires insurers to pay loss of use for Hurricane Ida, ow.ly/JKg850G6wvc
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Dr. Rick Knabb retweeted
Carbon capture could be a key piece of technology in the fight against global temperature rise. Here’s a look inside the world’s largest direct air capture plant that can remove up to 4,000 tons of CO2 from the atmosphere every year.
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Hi, Kevin, great point and I’d hope insurance industry and emergency managers could discuss how to remove another impediment to evacuation. Even voluntary evacuations save lives! Louisiana Dept of Insurance has stepped in to try to help after #Ida.
@DrRickKnabb I keep hearing y’all ask why people don’t evacuate Ask that question to the insurance companies that won’t pay loss of use unless a mandatory evacuation is called People cant afford to pay 2 weeks away from home. Thanks @CynthiaLeeSheng @mayorcantrell @ScottWalkerJP
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Euro and GFS disagree on whether #96L, after brushing the U.S. East Coast, will weaken the ridge north of #95L enough to prevent direct impacts in the northeastern Caribbean early next week. And how much ridging builds in behind #96L to possibly bring #95L all the way to CONUS?
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Dr. Rick Knabb retweeted
#WPC_MD 0967 affecting Much of Louisiana...Far Southern Mississippi, #mswx #lawx #txwx, go.usa.gov/xMWZ9
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Invests #95L and #96L are more than 3000 miles apart right now, but probably as future Odette and Peter, they might influence one another's tracks next week. Will #96L when it's near the Northeast help prevent #95L from making it to the U.S.? Lots of time to watch...
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Dr. Rick Knabb retweeted
Latest rainfall totals from now until Friday as Nicholas approaches. 5-10in total, with rates of 2-3in per hour are possible at times for some areas. We want to continue to point out, areas that are still recovering from Ida may see flooding happen much faster. #LAwx #MSwx
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Dr. Rick Knabb retweeted
As of 9 am., about 84,000 customers remain without power from #HurricaneIda, down from a peak of more than 902,000 outages in the state. We are working throughout the impacted areas, including these crews in Houma. For ongoing updates: enter.gy/6011y4RPb
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And this is why you put up hurricane watch when intensity forecast “only” 65 mph. Most people in warnings will still get strong tropical storm conditions. Also, look at the #CategorySlow depression over Louisiana thru Thu. Inland flooding still greatest threat for most. #Nicholas
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Dr. Rick Knabb retweeted
TxDOT has closed SH 332 at CR 690 (levee rd) heading towards Surfside. Surfside is without power and water is coming over the dunes. #TSNicholas #StaySafe #TurnAroundDontDrown #houwx
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